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Atrial Fibrillation
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How much benefit do high-risk patients get with anticoagulation with Warfarin?Analysis of the SPAF II trial results identified subgroups of patients with non-rheumatic atrial fibrillation that seemed to be at higher risk of thromboembolism. Subsequently, the SPAF III trial prospectively compared standard dose warfarin (to maintain INR between 2-3) with low dose warfarin (INR 1.2 to 1.5) plus asprin 325mg/d.
Most participants had more than one risk factor and the average age was 71 years. The group with low dose warfarin had a high thromboembolic event rate (7.8%) vs standard dose warfarin (2.6%). The annual rate of disabling stroke (5.6% vs 1.7%) and the primary event or vascular death (11.8% vs 6.4%) were also higher with the combination group. In other words, standard dose warfarin was a superior treatment and only about 25 high-risk patients need to be anticoagulated with warfarin, for one year, to prevent one disabling stroke. However, of note, is that if analysis is confined just to high risk patients excluding those that have had prior thromboembolism (see below) than the benefits are slightly less, but still significant. Major haemorrhage in SPAF III (including intracranial haemorrhage) were similar in the two groups: 2.1 and 2.4%. There is data from other studies which show higher risk of bleeding in the elderly.
Hitesh Patel, Cardiologist Reference
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