The website domain reflects its role for my own purpose only. Viewing of the webpages by others is not approved.
Main Index Site Developments
Patient Information Conditions of Use



---
Atrial Fibrillation

How much benefit do high-risk patients get with anticoagulation with Warfarin?

Analysis of the SPAF II trial results identified subgroups of patients with non-rheumatic atrial fibrillation that seemed to be at higher risk of thromboembolism. Subsequently, the SPAF III trial prospectively compared standard dose warfarin (to maintain INR between 2-3) with low dose warfarin (INR 1.2 to 1.5) plus asprin 325mg/d.

    The SPAF III trial defined high risk patients as those who had one of the following risk factors
  • being a female aged more than 75 years
  • a systolic pressure greater than 160mmHg
  • poor left ventricular function
  • a prior thromboembolic event.
  • NOTE: left atrial enlargement is also recognised as a risk factor for increased risk. This study excluded patients with rheumatic valve disease who are known to be at particularly high risk.

Most participants had more than one risk factor and the average age was 71 years.

The group with low dose warfarin had a high thromboembolic event rate (7.8%) vs standard dose warfarin (2.6%). The annual rate of disabling stroke (5.6% vs 1.7%) and the primary event or vascular death (11.8% vs 6.4%) were also higher with the combination group. In other words, standard dose warfarin was a superior treatment and only about 25 high-risk patients need to be anticoagulated with warfarin, for one year, to prevent one disabling stroke. However, of note, is that if analysis is confined just to high risk patients excluding those that have had prior thromboembolism (see below) than the benefits are slightly less, but still significant.

Major haemorrhage in SPAF III (including intracranial haemorrhage) were similar in the two groups: 2.1 and 2.4%. There is data from other studies which show higher risk of bleeding in the elderly.

SPAF III at a glance
Aspirin & Low Dose Warfarin Standard Dose Warfarin
Thromboembolic rate (including those with prior thromboembolism) 7.6% 2.6%
Disabling stroke rate (including those with prior thromboembolism) 5.6% 1.7%
Thromboembolic rate in high risk patients excluding those with prior thromboembolism ie for primary prevention only 5% 1%
Major Haemorrahge 2.1% 2.4%

Hitesh Patel, Cardiologist
28th August, 2004

Reference

  • SPAF III trial. The Lancet 1996; 348:633-38)

Users should read this document on "copyright" and "conditions of use".