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Atrial Fibrillation
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Thrombo-embolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation but without high-risk featuresThe 2001 guidelines of the American Heart Association, American College of Cardiology, and European College of Cardiology lists three different schemes for assessing risk. There seems to be agreement that patients with no high-risk features and aged less than 65 years are at low-risk. Low-risk patients on aspirin 300mg daily may have an event rate of less than 1% per year, and moderate-risk patients 2-3% per year. One of these risk stratification schemes (which does not include echocardiographic findings) would classify as “moderate-risk” those with coronary disease or diabetes but without high-risk features. There is disagreement about whether well controlled hypertension should be regarded as a high-risk feature or intermediate-risk factor. A large proportion of patients in the SPAF II trial had echocardiography and analysis of the data did suggest left atrial enlargement was an independent risk factor for increased risk of thromboembolism. An enlarged left atrium was defined as a high-risk feature in the AFFIRM trial.
In cases of doubt, I would be influenced by the findings of echocardiography, in particular assessment of left atrial size (assessed in three dimensions), and assessment of left ventricular systolic or diastolic function. Several transoesophageal echocardiographic findings have been associated with increased risk but it is uncommon for decisions in routine practise to be based on the findings of this examination.
Hitesh Patel, Cardiologist Reference: Users should read this document on "copyright" and "conditions of use". |
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